| EPSRC Reference: |
GR/S18069/01 |
| Title: |
CRANIUM: Climate change Risk Assessment: New Impact and Uncertainty Methods |
| Principal Investigator: |
Pearman, Professor A |
| Other Investigators: |
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| Researcher Co-Investigators: |
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| Project Partners: |
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| Department: |
Leeds University Business School (LUBS) |
| Organisation: |
University of Leeds |
| Scheme: |
Standard Research (Pre-FEC) |
| Starts: |
01 October 2003 |
Ends: |
31 January 2007 |
Value (£): |
75,811
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| EPSRC Research Topic Classifications: |
| Civil Engineering Materials |
Construction Ops & Management |
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| EPSRC Industrial Sector Classifications: |
| Construction |
Environment |
| Energy |
Transport Systems and Vehicles |
| Water |
Technical Consultancy |
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Summary on Grant Application Form |
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The aim of the proposed research is to develop new methodologies for analysing uncertainty and making robust risk-based decisions for infrastructure design and management in the face of climate change. It is structured around three tasks. Task 1 will analyse uncertainties in key climate variables f analysis of built environment, transport and utilities and provide means of communicating uncertainties to modellers and decision-makers. It will develop new Bayesian and extreme value methods for incorporating a range of uncertainties in climate scenarios. Task 2 will develop new methods for assessing system response to uncertain climate forcing. It will demonstrate methods for projecting uncertainties through system models and evaluate numerical methods for reducing the computational expense of uncertainty analysis. Task 3 will address how, in the light of these insights, decision making about operation of, or investment in, the system in question could be managed or modified to reflect potential climate change impacts and specifically the uncertainties surrounding them. It will review the decision contexts confronted by managers responsible for built environment, transpc and utilities and evaluate the suitability of a range of decision-making techniques in these contexts. Task 3 will be the main integrating mechanism within the project and will involve the project's eight stakeholder organisations. Methodological developments in each of these three tasks will be conducted in the context of case examples including reservoir safety, urban drainage and slope stability analysis.
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Key Findings |
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This information can now be found on Gateway to Research (GtR) http://gtr.rcuk.ac.uk
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Potential use in non-academic contexts |
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This information can now be found on Gateway to Research (GtR) http://gtr.rcuk.ac.uk
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Impacts |
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| Description |
This information can now be found on Gateway to Research (GtR) http://gtr.rcuk.ac.uk |
| Summary |
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| Date Materialised |
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Sectors submitted by the Researcher |
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This information can now be found on Gateway to Research (GtR) http://gtr.rcuk.ac.uk
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| Project URL: |
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| Further Information: |
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| Organisation Website: |
http://www.leeds.ac.uk |